Saturday, March 21, 2015

Oil Traders Alapa Regiment "Let us drink from the water of Wailuku"!


In ancient Hawaiian history, the Alapa Regiment were the elite guard of Kalanipuu who were in charge of the invasion Maui.  The 800 men marched into Maui with the boast "Before the day is over, we will drink of the waters of Wailuku and the next day we will rest in the shade of Hekuawa." The Alapa Regiment invade into the bottom of the Iao River. Chief Kahekili of Maui planned a trap them and destroy the Alapa 800.

Chief Kahekili used his 2,500 skilled slingmen of "Smoke Head" and "Red Coconut" divisions. Chief Kahekili the true ruler of all the Hawaiian Islands told his men, "No quarter, Kill them all."  All but two survived the fish net trap.

The oil traders or commodity funds have placed a crazy long bet of 500,000 contracts that oil will go higher and that deflation does not exist.  The economic assumptions of higher oil prices are like the Alapa Regiment who were totally destroyed by the market.  The problem with incomplete intelligence is that it leads to a massive destruction of your position.

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

The Keys to the Shadow Banking System: GOLDMAN SACHS IPO GSBD NEW SHADOW BANKING BONANZA!...

The Keys to the Shadow Banking System: GOLDMAN SACHS IPO GSBD NEW SHADOW BANKING BONANZA!...: GOLDMAN SACHS HAS A NEW INNOVATIVE TOOL FOR THE FUTURE OF BANKING: FINANCING THE BILLION DOLLAR MARKETS OF SHADOW BANKING! GOLDMAN SACHS...

GOLDMAN SACHS IPO GSBD NEW SHADOW BANKING BONANZA!



GOLDMAN SACHS HAS A NEW INNOVATIVE TOOL FOR THE FUTURE OF BANKING: FINANCING THE BILLION DOLLAR MARKETS OF SHADOW BANKING! GOLDMAN SACHS REALIZE THAT THIS MARKET IS GROWING FASTER AND FASTER AND THE BANKS CANNOT COMPETE IN THIS AREA.  THE IS AN UNDER-SERVICED MARKET THAT WILL BE GROWING IN THE NEXT ECONOMIC CYCLE.

GOLDMAN SACHS HAS TESTED THIS MID-LEVEL MARKET AND REALIZED THAT THIS IS A GOLD BONANZA FOR THE FUTURE.  THE SHADOW BANKING MARKET IS SEGMENTED INTO THREE AREAS: (1) CORPORATE MIDLEVEL AND CORPORATE LOW LEVEL BASED ON REVENUE; ( 2) THE INDIVIDUAL MARKETS AND SMALL BUSINESS MARKETS AND (3) HIGH RISK CREDIT FOR INDIVIDUALS EMPLOYED OR VERIFIED INCOME.

 THE US BANKS HAVE ABANDONED THESE MARKETS AND THE SHADOW BANKING MARKETS ARE NOT RECEIVING THE MONEY THEY NEED.  CONSEQUENTLY, THEY ARE BEING SERVICED BY PREDATOR LENDERS AND UNDERGROUND SOURCES OF FINANCING.  THE INNOVATIVE AMERICAN CORPORATE SECTOR CAN MAKE A FORTUNE PROVIDING FUNDS TO THESE FAST GROWING MARKETS.

THESE MARKET ARE SIMILAR TO CHINESE MARKETS WHERE CHINESE GAMBLERS WERE PAYING HIGH INTEREST RATES FOR GAMBLING CAPITAL: BUT WAS REPLACED BY AMERICAN CORPORATIONS OFFERING HIGH BUT REALISTIC RATES OF RETURN.
THE US BANKS ARE MISSING OUT ON BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF EXTRA REVENUE AND NEW MARKETS TO EXPAND THEIR MARKETS.  THEY NEED TO DESIGN FINANCIAL PRODUCTS FOR THESE MARKETS!

GOLDMAN SACHS IS GOING AFTER THE CORPORATE SECTOR MID-BUSINESS BETWEEN $5 TO 75 MILLION.  THE IPO WILL SELL FO $20-21 A SHARE THE NAME OF THE COMPANY IS GSBD. THREE CHEERS FOR GOLDMAN SACHS!

Monday, March 16, 2015

THE COMING ECONOMIC FRACTAL PRICE DECLINE IN STOCK MARKET!



THE COMING COLLAPSE OF THE STOCK MARKET IS BASED ON THE KURTOSIS OF THE STOCK MARKET OR THE GROWING FAT TAIL OF EXTREME PRICE DROPS.  THE CENTRAL ISSUE WITH THE TRADITIONAL MODELS WITH THE STOCK MARKET IS THAT THEY ARE BASED ON A STATISTICAL MODEL OF NORMAL DISTRIBUTION OF PRICES.

THE PROBLEM WITH THIS ANALYSIS IS THAT STOCK MARKET PRICE MOVEMENTS ARE BASED ON EXTREME VARIATIONS.  THE MARKET POSTULATES A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION AND MODEL ARE BASED ON THIS ASSUMPTION.  THE MANDELBROT MODEL POSTULATES EXTREME PRICE VARIATIONS THAT SELF-REPLICATE ON THE FAT TAIL OF PRICE EXTREMES.  THE ISSUE IS THAT THERE IS NO SHORT TERM NORMAL SCALE IN A WORLD THAT ARE RAGGED AND DISTORTED.

THE CURRENT STOCK MARKET MODELS ARE BASED ON AN OUTDATED MARKET PARADIGM. THEY CANNOT WORK WITH A MODEL THAT REPLICATES ON THE EXTREME AND IRRATIONAL PRICE DISTORTION CAUSED BY 15 TRILLION IN FLIGHT CAPITAL, WORLD WIDE SHADOW BANKING, DYSFUNCTIONAL OPEC CARTEL, GLOBAL DRUG TRADE, AND MACROECONOMIC CYCLICAL FANTASY.

THIS IS THE SAME PROBLEM WITH PREDICTING WINNING LOTTERY NUMBERS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS STATISTICAL WEB SITES THAT PREDICT WINNING NUMBER BASED ON STATISTICAL HISTORY OF WINNING NUMBERS.  WHAT IF WE WERE TO CLASSIFY EVERY COMBINATION OF WINNING NUMBERS AND TRACK THE WINNING NUMBERS?

THE  PROBLEM IS THAT WINNING LOTTERY NUMBERS FOLLOW A FRACTAL PATH OF EXTREME OUTCOMES.  THERE IS NO NORMAL DISTRIBUTION OF WINNING NUMBERS AND THIS IS THE PROBLEM WITH LOTTERY GURUS.  THE WINNING NUMBERS SELF-REPLICATE ON A EXTREME NUMBERS THAT FOLLOW CHAOS THEORY.  THE PATTERN CAN NEVER BE UNCOVERED WITH NORMAL STATISTICAL ANALYSIS. ONE WOULD HAVE TO  SUPER PROGRAM FRACTAL NUMBERS ON A COMPLETED MATRIX OF ALL POSSIBLE NUMBERS WITHIN A FINITE SET.

THE REALITY IS THAT EXTREME STOCK MARKET DROPS ARE NORMAL!

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

4 TRILLION EUROS COMING TO AMERICA!



THE COLLAPSE OF THE EURO IS THE BEGINNING OF THE NEW INFLOW OF CAPITAL INTO THE UNITED STATES.  THE EURO SAVERS AND COLLAPSE OF THE EURO TO A FUTURE OF EXCHANGE RATE OF $.085 EURO = $1.00.  THIS IS THE BIGGEST DECLINE OF THE LAST 12 YEARS.  THIS IS AN INCREDIBLE OPPORTUNITY TO HARNESS WONDERFUL INVESTMENT PRODUCTS TO MATCH EUROPEAN FLIGHT MONEY.